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Analysis from the June 18th Session

By durrrr Challenge | Posted on June 19, 2009

It’s amazing how big the swings can be in Pot Limit Omaha heads-up and that’s exactly what we’ve seen in the Durrrr Challenge. Only a couple of weeks ago, we were practically mocking Tom “durrrr” Dwan for being down almost a half-million dollars to his first challenger, Patrik Antonius. Only two sessions later, Durrrr has taken his biggest lead. The session from June 18th was a lengthy four hours, with wild swings in both players’ favor. Let’s take a look at two critical hands.

A $124K Backdoor Boat

Full Tilt Poker $200/$400 Pot Limit Omahahahahaha

durrrr (BB): $103854.00
Patrik Antonius (BTN/SB): $61798.00

Pre Flop: ($600.00)
Patrik Antonius raises to $1200, durrrr raises to $3600, Patrik Antonius calls $2400

Flop: ($7200.00)
durrrr checks, Patrik Antonius bets $6000, durrrr raises to $25200, Patrik Antonius raises to $58198 all in, durrrr calls $32998

Turn: ($123596.00) (2 players – 1 is all in)

River: ($123596.00) (2 players – 1 is all in)

Final Pot: $123596.00
durrrr shows (a full house, Jacks full of Kings)
Patrik Antonius shows (two pair, Kings and Jacks)
durrrr wins $123595.50

Hand Analysis

To start the hand, we see Antonius hold 7-5-K-7 double-suited, while Dwan held K-3-J-9 double-suited to the same suits. Clearly, one of these players would overestimate their flush draw if two hearts or two clubs came on the flop. With Durrrr on the big blind, he 3bet Antonius, who quickly called. The flop came 2-K-5, with Antonius hitting two pair and a King-high flush draw, while Dwan held a pair of Kings plus a Jack-high flush draw. This spelled doom for durrrr, who was drawing to a lower flush draw and needed to hit miracle cards to take the lead. An 80-20% underdog, Dwan misplayed his hand (albeit a bit of a cooler) and check-raised pot at the flop. Antonius gladly shoved over the top and was called. Clearly, Antonius got his money in good as a huge favorite, but Dwan enjoyed the sick life by spiking his Jack on the turn, which made him a 72%-38% favorite. The river Jack gave Dwan the winning boat and a $123,595 pot.

durrrr Two Pair Earn $200K

Full Tilt Poker $200/$400 Pot Limit Omahahahahaha

durrrr (BB): $108590.50
Patrik Antonius (BTN/SB): $101387.00

Pre Flop: ($600.00)
Patrik Antonius raises to $1200, durrrr raises to $3600, Patrik Antonius calls $2400

Flop: ($7200.00)
durrrr bets $4800, Patrik Antonius calls $4800

Turn: ($16800.00)
durrrr bets $13200, Patrik Antonius raises to $41200, durrrr calls $28000

River: ($99200.00)
durrrr checks, Patrik Antonius bets $51787 all in, durrrr calls $51787

Final Pot: $202774.00
durrrr shows (two pair, Tens and Nines)
Patrik Antonius shows (a pair of Kings)
durrrr wins $202773.50

Hand Analysis

Pre-flop, there wasn’t much advantage statistically, with durrrr holding the double-suited 9-A-T-5 and Antonius holding K-K-3-6 single-suited (but to the same diamonds that durrrr held). Durrrr popped a 3bet pre-flop, which was called by Antonius. The flop brought 2-5-10 suited to spades. With top pair, top kicker, durrrr led out and Antonius, who flopped an overpair and gutshot to a four, flat called. The three of hearts gave durrrr the lead with two pair plus redraw outs to a flush. Surprisingly, the action got hot here, with durrrr leading out for nearly pot, which Antonius raised as a 72%-28% dog. The bet was called by durrrr and the river delivered a nine of spades. Dwan checked and Antonius shoved, making a pretty gutsy move to bluff the made spade flush draw. In one of the sicker calls of the entire Durrrr Challenge, Dwan sniffed out the bluff and made the tough call, netting him a $202,773 pot.

This post was written by:

durrrr Challenge - who has written 176 posts on durrrr Challenge.

2 Responses to “Analysis from the June 18th Session”

  1. andrex puppy Says:

    i think that the vast majority of online players that really know there talking about want durrrr to crush in the challenge the idea somebody so young could achieve what he has is an inspiration to us all go durrrr go!!

  2. keith Says:

    after looking at some of the hands these guys play against eachother it seems like preflop: dwan 3bets, antonius calls, durr check raises pot on flop if he hit the flop in any small way and big pots come fast and hard with both players holding weak hands.

    this is really sick gambling and there is zero fold equity against either player so its like two stubborn bulls pounding away at eachother and this ‘challenge’ that has been so hyped up will be decided by about 5 coin tosses over the total 50k hands and now that antonius is comfortable with 4 tables its nothing but luck between these two.

    3/1 odds every pro who can afford to play should jump at the chance. durrrr is trying to prove to the world he is a great player all around because he wont be winning any tournaments and now the rebuy events are gone from wsop so has any chance of this guy getting a bracelet.

    durrrr is an extremely entertaining guy to watch and week in week out gives lessons in the power of fold equity but after this first challenge the interest will have died down a lot and there is only one man who can step up to the plate and create the interest for the railbirds and that man could be too busy with winning the wsop to start before next year.

    the entertainment comes from watching the different playing styles of players and how they handle eachother. 50k hands is too much, the interest was always going to die down.

    durrrr if your reading this and you want to silence your critics give ivey 2/1 over 20k hands and if you take down the best in the business (especially if he wins in November) ill take a week off to do nothing in poker but study as many of your previous hands as possible because you will have me convinced your way is the best way for online poker.

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