Analysis from June 10th’s Mini Session

Due to the World Series of Poker tournament events starting up and being in full swing in Sin City, it seems that the action at the side tables as well as the tournaments are too good for both Tom Dwan and Patrik Antonius to pass up. There have been multiple reports of both being spotted at “Bobby’s Room” playing in the biggest cash game in town, so there’s little surprise of the snail’s pace movement of the Durrrr Challenge. However, the boys did get together for a small 39 minute session giving us some hands to analyze.

Patrik Hits a Straight

Full Tilt Poker $200/$400 Pot Limit Omaha Hi – 2 players

durrrr (BTN/SB): $104797.00
Patrik Antonius (BB): $55197.00

Pre Flop: ($600.00)
durrrr raises to $1200, Patrik Antonius raises to $3600, durrrr calls $2400

Flop: ($7200.00) Js 9c 6c (2 players)
Patrik Antonius checks, durrrr checks

Turn: ($7200.00) 5h (2 players)
Patrik Antonius bets $6000, durrrr calls $6000

River: ($19200.00) Qd (2 players)
Patrik Antonius checks, durrrr bets $15600, Patrik Antonius calls $15600

Final Pot: $50400.00
durrrr shows Th 9d 5c 5d (three of a kind, Fives)
Patrik Antonius shows 7c 7s 6h 8h (a straight, Nine high)
Patrik Antonius wins $50399.50

Analysis

On the button we saw durrrr make his customary raise and Antonius countered with his obligatory 3Bet which was flatted by the button. There was absolutely no pre-flop edge in this hand with players facing a 50-50 split of the odds at this point in the hand. The flop came J-9-6 with two clubs which did nothing in terms of a flush draw for either player. Durrrr had just middle pair with little room for improving, while Antonius had bottom pair and an open ended straight draw to a 10 or 5. Both players checked their hands, a most unusual event during the 15,000 hands of the challenge to date. The turn popped a 5 giving Antonius a straight while durrrr tragically hit bottom set. Antonius led out for full pot on the turn, clearly not slowplaying his straight while durrrr flat called the bet. The river Q was of no consequence for either player, but it did represent somewhat of a scare card for Antonius because it filled higher straight possibilities for Dwan if he held K-T-x-x or T-8-x-x. Antonius did check the river and durrrr led out for full pot with his set and was flatted by Antonius who clearly made the right move with the third best straight possible. Durrrr got a bit coolered here, however we are sure that at the time he knew that bottom set was definitely vulnerable.

durrrr Shows Aggression

Full Tilt Poker $200/$400 Pot Limit Omaha Hi – 2 players

durrrr (BB): $85197.50
Patrik Antonius (BTN/SB): $74797.00

Pre Flop: ($600.00)
Patrik Antonius raises to $1200, durrrr calls $800

Flop: ($2400.00) 5d Ts 7h (2 players)
durrrr checks, Patrik Antonius bets $2400, durrrr calls $2400

Turn: ($7200.00) Tc (2 players)
durrrr checks, Patrik Antonius bets $5600, durrrr calls $5600

River: ($18400.00) 7c (2 players)
durrrr checks, Patrik Antonius requests TIME, Patrik Antonius bets $18400, durrrr raises to $73600, Patrik Antonius folds

Final Pot: $55200.00
durrrr wins $55199.50

Analysis

Unfortunately we don’t know the hands for either player here so we can’t calculate odds or really begin to know what was actually happening in the hand. Nevertheless, we see durrrr flat call the pre-flop raise from Antonius on the button which has historically meant a weak hand, as durrrr has almost universally 3Bet any sort of decent holding. The flop came 5-T-7 rainbow meaning flush draws were extremely remote but some interesting straight draws could come from various possible wraps. Dwan checked the flop, Antonius bet, and Dwan flat called. It’s hard to tell what either player had but we had to think at this point Dwan is polarizing his range to either something that isn’t made and is drawing poorly or has something like top set and is hoping for an A or K to pop off on the turn to get more action. The turn brings another 10 and again durrrr check-calls the bet from Antonius. The river 7 means that any 7 or 10 paired with another card held by either player means a boat, and we see durrr check-raise for full pot at the river. Now, we know durrrr is one of the best players in the world, fully capable of formulating a plan to make it seem he did have a monster by check-calling and then check-shoving the river, even if he didn’t have a hand; especially on this type of board. On the other hand our guess at a polarized range of top set means that durrrr nailed quads (unlikely but we did think he had a 10 at the very least) or a boat and at this point, Antonius simply can’t continue without handing over a lot of chips unless he has a boat himself. Kudos to Dwan for recognizing this and showing proper aggression on a really scary board.

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